If parliamentary elections were held next Sunday, Law and Justice (PiS) would win. However, the latest poll brings bad news not only for the Civic Coalition (KO), which would lose power, but also for the Confederation, which has seen a sharp decline in support.
The latest IBRiS survey for Wirtualna Polska shows that PiS currently enjoys the greatest support among Poles.
Twenty-nine percent of respondents declared their intention to vote for Jarosław Kaczyński’s party. This represents a 1.6-percentage point increase compared to the previous survey conducted by this agency.
The Civic Coalition came in second with 27.1 percent. Support for the party dropped by 1-percentage point.
The Confederation party finished last on the podium. However, this group has no reason to celebrate, having lost 4.1-percentage points compared to the previous survey. If the parliamentary elections were held next Sunday, the party would receive 13.2 percent of the vote.
Only the Left Party would still have representation in the Sejm, with 7.4 percent of the votes.
The remaining parties did not cross the electoral threshold. Their results are as follows:
- Polish People’s Party – 3.9 percent
- Poland 2050 – 3.4 percent
- Razem Party – 3.2 percent
- Confederation of the Polish Crown of Grzegorz Braun – 3.1 percent
9.7 percent of respondents did not know who they would vote for in the parliamentary elections.
PiS and Confederation hold a majority in the Sejm
However, even with Confederation’s drop in support, PiS would still need the party to take power.
If the poll results actually translated into election results, the distribution of seats would look like this:
- Law and Justice – 193
- Civic Coalition – 165
- Confederation – 73
- Left – 29.
“In such a parliamentary configuration, PiS and Confederation would have a total of 266 seats, which would give them a majority. KO and the Left would have 194 seats (not enough for a parliamentary majority),” the polling results read.
