The Alternative for Germany (AfD) is jumping ahead in yet another eastern German state after posting record polling results in two other states. On top of that, the party has hit 27 percent nationally in a new YouGov poll, marking a record result and putting the party in first place in yet another national poll.
However, one German minister of the ruling government predicts the AfD will crash to a mere 9 percent nationally in time for the next national election in 2029.
The latest state poll from Insa shows the AfD has surged ahead of the left-wing Social Democrats (SPD) by 10 points in the state of Brandenburg. Now, 34 percent of voters said they would vote for the AfD party, while the SPD has dropped to 24 percent. The new poll shows the AfD improving by 4.8 percentage points from its results approximately a year ago. Meanwhile, the CDU is lingering at only 13 percent.
BRANDENBURG | Sonntagsfrage Landtagswahl INSA/MAZ, MOZ, LR
AfD: 34% (+5)
SPD: 24% (-1)
CDU: 13% (-4)
BSW: 9% (-4)
LINKE: 9% (+4)
GRÜNE: 4% (+1)
BVB/FW: 2%
FDP: 2%
Sonstige: 3% (-1)
Änderungen zur letzten Umfrage vom 28. Januar 2025
Verlauf: https://t.co/FNWhDOC6A4#ltwbb pic.twitter.com/E6aWfVCeNe
— Deutschland Wählt (@Wahlen_DE) September 19, 2025Currently, Brandenburg is led by SPD state premier, Dietmar Woidke.
More importantly, YouGov now puts the AfD party at 27 percent nationally, one point ahead of the Christian Democrats (CDU). The AfD is closing in on the key number of 30 percent, but the question is whether it will ever reach it.
🇩🇪🔴The anti-immigration AfD party jumps to a record 27% and remains the most popular party in Germany.
CDU loses a point, dropping to 26%.
(Source: YouGov) pic.twitter.com/VN1SZnPuuz
— Remix News & Views (@RMXnews) September 17, 2025The latest results from Brandenburg also come after the AfD has posted record results in the eastern states of Saxony-Anhalt and Thuringia, as Remix News previously reported.
Notably, it is the eastern German states where the AfD has come under the most pressure from the powerful domestic spy agency, the Office for the Protection of the Constitution (BfV). For example, the BfV’s branch in Brandenburg designated the AfD as “certainly right-wing extremist” in early August.
“The AfD will be at 9% by 2029”
However, the AfD’s polling surge has its doubters.
Minister of State for Culture Wolfram Weimer, of the CDU, said the AfD’s supporters are only driven by resentment.
“The firewall is an ethical category. We, the political center, have a foundation of values that we can fall back on. The AfD doesn’t,” he told Politico.
He also said that he does not see a “blue wave of success” despite the AfD topping his own party in recent polls.
Weimer, instead, sees the AfD’s support crashing in time for the next federal elections.
“My prediction is that the AfD will be at 9 percent by 2029,” he said.
