The Civic Coalition (KO) maintains its leadership position, but is experiencing a decline in support, as is Law and Justice (PiS). Confederation and the Confederation of the Polish Crown are, on the other hand, gaining strength, according to the latest poll.
The latest poll conducted by United Surveys by IBRiS on behalf of Wirtualna Polska shows that Donald Tusk’s party continues to hold the lead, with 30.7 percent support, writes Do Rzeczy. This is, however, a drop of 1.8 points compared to the previous survey. Law and Justice came in second, with 21.5 percent, a drop of 1.2 percent, and Confederation finished third, with 13.2 percent of respondents supporting it, a slight increase of 0.2 percentage points.
Confederation of the Polish Crown came in at 10 percent (+0.1 percent), followed by the New Left at 7.5 percent (-0.5 percent), and the Polish People’s Party (PSL) reached the electoral threshold with 5 percent (+0.2 percent).
Below the threshold were the Razem Party (2.5 percent) and the groups formed after the division of the Third Way: Polska 2050 (1 percent) and the Centre Party (0.6 percent).
The number of decided voters doubled from 4 percent to 8 percent.
If the results of the Sejm elections were actually as in this study, the division into seats would look as follows:
- Civic Coalition – 183,
- Law and Justice – 122,
- Confederation – 67,
- Confederation of the Polish Crown – 46,
- New Left – 29,
- Polish People’s Party – 13.
With such a distribution, KO, along with the New Left and PSL, would fall six seats short of a majority in the Sejm. Meanwhile, the results achieved by PiS, Confederation, and Confederation of the Polish Crown would allow these parties to form a coalition and seize power. However, PiS, led by Jarosław Kaczyński, has made it clear that any alliance with the last, led by right-wing nationalist Grzegorz Braun, is out of the question.
Confederation has talked of possible cooperation with Braun while ruling out any single-party formation with him.
