Polish conservatives take the lead in new polling for presidential elections

One professor has called PM Tusk's migration announcement "naive"

By Liz Heflin
3 Min Read

A new poll by Ipsos for Krytyka Polityczna has Law and Justice (PiS) winning the presidential election with 30 percent of the votes and Civic Platform (KO) coming in second with 28 percent.

The right-wing Confederation party came in third place with 15 percent, followed by the New Left (8 percent) and Third Way (7 percent). Some 2 percent of respondents indicated other parties, and 11 percent chose “I don’t know/hard to say.”

Importantly, among those who do not know who to vote for, PiS supporters predominate.

The survey was conducted on a sample of 1,000 people using the CATI method between Sept. 10 and 18, 2024.

Meanwhile, Prime Minister Donald Tusk told the Gazeta Wyborcza that the Civic Coalition’s candidate for president would be announced on Dec. 7. Tusk has been courting voters aggressively for his coalition, even declaring that the right to asylum must be suspended in Poland, telling Gazeta Wyborcza that “the state must know how to fight.”

He also took a much more civil, neutral tone regarding the U.S. election in light of the need to keep relations strong no matter who wins.

“And that is why Poland’s task will be to strengthen transatlantic relations to the maximum extent, regardless of which party governs in the United States or in the European Union countries. Because there is no alternative to this close relationship between the EU, Great Britain, the U.S. and Canada,” Tusk said.

Tusk’s attempt to pick up illegal migration as a talking point continues to face scrutiny, with one professor calling his statement on suspending asylum naive.

“We must realize that soon we will have a deficit of up to 3 million workers in Poland. And this means that we may be condemned to some form of opening up to migrants,” said Kazimierz Kik, a professor at Jan Kochanowski University of Kielce, while speaking to Salon24.

“While drawing attention to the threats related to uncontrolled migration makes sense, they do not have the power to act,” the professor added. 

Poland’s presidential election is set to take place in May 2025.

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