For the first time, Sławomir Mentzen is ahead of Karol Nawrocki and would enter the second round of the presidential elections, according to a new SW Research poll for “Wprost”.
The first round of the presidential election will take place on May 18, and the second round – if necessary – on June 1. March 24 is the deadline to notify the National Electoral Commission about the establishment of an election committee. According to the Electoral Code, a candidate must collect 100,000 signatures of support. The deadline for this is April 4 at 4:00 p.m.
SW Research, commissioned by the weekly Wprost, asked Poles who they would vote for if the presidential elections were held today.
Mentzen before Nawrocki
The clear leader of the poll is the Civic Coalition candidate Rafał Trzaskowski, for whom 33.6 percent of respondents want to vote (an increase of 0.7 percentage points compared to the survey from January). However, the biggest surprise is the second place for Sławomir Mentzen. The Confederation candidate is supported by 18.9 percent of respondents (an increase of 5.8 percentage points), and Karol Nawrocki, who is running in the presidential race with the support of Law and Justice is at only 16.5 percent (a decrease of 0.5 percentage points).
This is the first such survey in which the Confederation candidate overtook the PiS candidate.
The next positions were occupied by: Szymon Hołownia at 7.9 percent (an increase of 1 percentage point), Grzegorz Braun at 2.9 percent (an increase of 0.7 percentage points), Krzysztof Stanowski at 2.8 percent (he was not included in the previous survey), Adrian Zandberg at 2.6 percent (a decrease of 0.1 percentage points), Marek Jakubiak at 2.2 percent (an increase of 1.1 percentage points) and Magdalena Biejat at 1.8 percent (a decrease of 1.6 percentage points).
Another 1 percent of respondents indicated another candidate, and 9.9 percent have not yet made a decision on this matter.
Who votes and how?
According to the survey conducted for Wprost, Rafał Trzaskowski’s highest support rates are among women (35.8 percent), people over 50 (46.1 percent) and residents of cities with more than 500,000 inhabitants (40.1 percent). In the case of Sławomir Mentzen, his biggest supporters are men (23.9 percent), people under 24 (36.7 percent) and residents of cities with up to 20,000 inhabitants (23.8 percent).
In the case of Karol Nawrocki: women (17.2 percent), people over 50 (22.5 percent) and residents of cities with a population exceeding half a million (19.9 percent) are his biggest supporters.
All other polls have so far placed Nawrocki above Mentzen in the polls. Almost all polls show the center-left Trzaskowski winning in the second round.
