Only the announcement of the lawsuit that doesn’t yet exist has been sufficient for the media and the campaign has already started. Láska also revealed that he is preparing a list of deeds that President Zeman should have committed, reportedly violating the Constitution. In the following phases, we are expecting a media presentation of that list, then a media presentation of the lawsuit, and finally the terse and frequently mediated efforts of senator Láska to persuade other senators about the lawsuit.
In between, there will be the summer holidays so that the proposal might make it to the Senate plenary in the autumn. Formally, it would be a debate about the lawsuit, but in fact, it would be a debate Zeman versus anti-Zeman. In this play, Láska would lead the anti-Zeman camp wearing a shiny armor to protect the Constitution and laws. Anyone who would oppose him would immediately be presented as a repulsive person standing on the side of President Zeman.
The mathematics of the Senate is relatively simple. Láska needs 49 votes in the case of full attendance. His club has six. The STAN club, which includes TOP 09 senators and others, could add up to 18 votes. Another 15 could come from the People´s Party whose sympathy Láska already has, according to his words. And from three of the non-partisans, Zeman’s unsuccessful rival from the presidential election, Pavel Fischer, might join Láska as well. That is 40 votes in total.
The final decision is up to the ODS club (18 senators), ANO (7 senators) and ČSSD (13 senators). It is not hard to imagine that Láska would find the nine votes left between these.
Thus, Láska´s lawsuit might go through the Senate, and then the whole show would continue in the Chamber of Deputies, where Láska has less chance of success, but that is not the point here. It would be a great media event, and the media would allow Láska to further benefit from the story. With some luck, he could extend the story up to the spring of 2020.
And if he had somehow succeeded in the Chamber of Deputies, then the whole story would, of course, continue to live in the center of media attention. And it is not at all essential if he succeeded or not in the Constitutional Court. What is essential is that Láska would be seen as a leading figure of the anti-Zeman movement, and especially that he might be re-elected to the Senate in the autumn of 2020 in Prague.
