Will there be a split in Law and Justice (PiS), the largest conservative party in Poland? Poles have answered this question in a new poll.
Recent weeks have been a difficult period for PiS. The party has been steadily losing support to the Confederation of the Polish Crown and the Confederation. To make matters worse, the group is also grappling with internal conflict between Mateusz Morawiecki and politicians around Jacek Sasin and Patryk Jaki, among others.
Is the party at risk of a split? Poles were asked about this issue in an SW Research survey. 41.2 percent of respondents believe it will not happen, while 29.7 percent believe a split will occur. Another 29.2 percent of respondents have no opinion on the matter.
Kaczyński has already chosen the prime minister
The PiS leader announced that he has already chosen a candidate to be the next prime minister. The name will be announced in March. Meanwhile, the party is in turmoil.
According to media reports, Mateusz Morawiecki may leave the party and form his own group. Up to 40 members of parliament may leave PiS along with the former prime minister.
According to journalists, Morawiecki wants to be ready to leave PiS by the time the lists for the 2027 parliamentary elections are being created. This is intended to give him a strong negotiating argument. “We’re traveling around the country, gauging sentiment, and building social media, because that’s where we could collect signatures to run independently,” the source told Zero.pl.
What about financing the new project?
“We’re least concerned about finances. Money is important, of course, but if you have leaders as popular as Mateusz Morawiecki and an efficient organization, you can ask our supporters for support,” said the source.
The survey was conducted on Feb. 18, 2026, by SW Research using online interviews (CAWI—Computer-Assisted Web Interview) on the SW Panel website. As part of the study, 800 surveys were conducted with a nationwide sample of adults. Quota sampling was used, assuming the sample was representative in terms of the overall distribution of gender, age, and town-size class.
