The United States has every reason to keep Russia in one piece, independent Russian researcher and journalist Kamil Galeev wrote in a Russian-language blog.
Russian state media is full of reports that the United States is working to dismantle Russia, as it did the Soviet Union 30 years ago. However, Moscow-based research Kamil Galeev highlighted in his analysis of the political landscape that the United States at that time was working to save the Soviet Union rather than to completely destroy it.
Galeev believes that, like in 1991, the United States will follow this strategy now, that they will try to help keep Russia together until the last moment, but, like with the Soviet Union, it will not succeed.
“Now the U.S. will work to save Russia and its state unity because the American people want continuity and predictability, they don’t want radical change, and the disintegration of Russia would mean that, which could cause an uncomfortable situation for Washington,” Galeev wrote.
However, according to Galeev, no such plan will work, and Russia will disintegrate before it poses a direct threat to the United States — leaving Washington to declare a victory it neither wanted nor acted for.
“The USA was unable to prevent the dismantling of the Soviet Union, nor will it be able to do so with Russia,” he added.