In the upcoming European Parliament elections, the conservative Law and Justice (PiS) party could secure 32.7 percent of the votes, while the Civic Coalition (KO), led by Donald Tusk, is a close second with 30.3 percent, according to the latest survey by United Surveys for Dziennik Gazeta Prawna (DGP) paper and RMF FM commercial radio. If the elections were held next Sunday, Jarosław Kaczyński’s party would emerge victorious.
The Third Way alliance, comprising Poland 2050 and the Polish People’s Party (PSL), which are in ruling coalition with Tusk’s party, would finish third, garnering 12.6 percent of the votes.
Representatives from the Left (9.6 percent) and the Confederation party (8.6 percent) would also secure seats in the European Parliament.
The survey suggests a voter turnout of 44.8 percent, nearly identical to the 2019 elections, which saw a 45.68 percent turnout.
Political scientist, Dr. Maciej Onasz from the Department of Political Systems at the University of Łódź, analyzed the data, estimating that PiS would likely win 19 seats and KO 17. The Third Way would obtain seven seats, while the Left and the Confederation would each capture five. Onasz noted that due to the electoral system in the European Parliament, the exact allocation of seats might slightly differ from these predictions.
The poll was conducted from May 10-12 among a sample of 1,000 adult Poles. Poland, divided into 13 electoral districts for these elections, will send a total of 53 MEPs to the European Parliament. The elections are scheduled to be held on Sunday, June 9, with electoral committees that exceed 5 percent of the national vote participating in the seat distribution.
