Just as members of parliament are wrapping up the spring session of legislation, Hungary’s ruling conservative Fidesz party has maintained its uninterrupted lead over the combined popularity of all opposition parties, a recent poll by the Nézőpont Institute showed.
The latest poll, from June 7 to June 9, indicates that should Hungary hold elections this weekend, the ruling Fidesz would get 52 percent of the votes compared with 43 percent for opposition parties.
The left cannot be satisfied with its performance at the end of the spring session of the parliament, as it has not been able to tighten the electoral competition with Fidesz, according to the latest research from the Nézőpont Institute. Among decide voters within the entire population, there have been only minor shifts within the lead margin of Fidesz since April, and the pro-government advantage has remained unchanged.
Within the total population, Fidesz-KDNP leads the joint list of the left 40 to 36, and 52 to 43 on the basis of secure party voters.
The right-wing Our Homeland movement — which stands at three percent — and the Hungarian Two-Tailed Dog Party (a satire party) have yet to reach the 5 percent threshold required to enter parliament. According to the analysis of the data, the Nézőpont Institute concluded that the stable leading position of the governing parties can be explained by the satisfaction with the epidemic management beyond the pro-government camp, the unity of Fidesz and its ability to govern.
In contrast, ideological divisions keep undermining the loose coalition of the of opposition parties, which continue to struggle with pre-election internal conflicts, and the lack of a capable joint leader. Based on the data, the think-tank’s analysis said that should elections be held this Sunday, the joint list of Fidesz and junior coalition partner KDNP would win the parliamentary elections again, and Viktor Orbán could form his fifth government.
Hungary is scheduled to hold parliamentary elections in the spring of 2022.
Title image: Popularity of the ruling Fidesz (orange) and opposition parties (red). (source: Nézőpont Institute)