Survey after protests: Law and Justice makes slight gains

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If parliamentary elections in Poland were to be held now, Law and Justice (PiS) would win with 32 percent of the vote. This is a 2 percentage point increase compared to the previous poll conducted by Social Changes.

Coming in second, 29 percent of voters would choose the Civic Coalition (PO), which is also a 2 percentage point increase. And in third would be the Left with 15 percent of support (a 1 percentage point increase). The Right-wing Confederation would receive 9 percent of votes (a 1 percentage point drop), and the Polish People’s Party would receive 7 percent (a 1 percentage point increase).

Of those surveyed, 8 percent declared support for other political groups, compared to 13 percent in the last poll. The forecasted turnout would be 63 percent.

If the independent party of former presidential candidate Szymon Hołownia is included in the survey, then it would replace PO in second with 22 percent of the votes. PiS would remain in the lead with 31 percent, and PO would be in third place with only 21 percent.

The Social Changes poll was conducted using the Computer Assisted Web Interviewing (CAWI) method on 1,088 Poles. It took place between November 6 and 9, 2020.

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