Vaccine geopolitics and geoeconomics have become a fact. The ideals of global justice in vaccine distribution have been pushed aside in the race over who will be first in, and who will benefit the most from, the upcoming wave of economic renewal.
To what extent the pandemic can be compared to war can be seen today in the example of the politics and economics of many developed Western states. Governments are imposing extraordinary social restrictions during times of peace. State economies, unnoticed by the majority of the public, are transforming into the typical model of a war economy, with rising debt and omnipresent state interference.
The question of how we will exit this “wartime” economy is thus being asked increasingly often.
The economic and political futures of particular states will depend on how this exit will take place and who will do it best. Which states will turn out to be the victors and which the losers?
The stakes are much higher than just geoeconomic struggles. Just as after the passing of a great flood, the current catastrophe may completely change the social and political landscape in many areas. Some political forces may benefit from the wave of economic rebirth, while others may lose their chance to hold power for a very long time.