First came Donald Trump’s defeat in the US presidential elections, followed by a longer period of lying to ourselves that Polish-American relations are based on common interests and are bipartisan. Then sanctions on Nord Stream 2 were waived, and our delusions have now given way to reality. Now, we have the news that Denmark is intending to suspend the construction of the land section of the Baltic Pipe gas pipeline over its territory.
I do not want to fall into fatalist “everything is lost, we’re doomed” tones, as the situation may still develop in different directions, but if it will continue to develop in the way that it has, then Poland is not in a good situation.
Other issues, seemingly unconnected, are taking place simultaneously to the geopolitical movements which melt our energy security concepts.
An example is the attack on the Turów lignite mine (supposedly carried out by the Czechs, but I believe they may be surprised with their own “success”, and I see German hands behind the scenes in this affair).
Another is the impudent kidnapping of a Belarusian oppositionist in Minsk from the Ryanair aircraft which was registered in Poland, as was the kidnapping of a Russian oppositionist from a Polish Airlines LOT plane in St. Petersburg.
If all of this wasn’t ‘funny’ enough, then there’s also Polish Nobel literature prize winner Olga Tokarczuk who is comparing the situation in Poland in foreign media to that in Belarus where the opposition is actually being oppressed and persecuted.
Some of these issues are connected with each other, while others are simply coincidences. Nevertheless, it is difficult to not feel like the atmosphere is tightening around Poland. It is as if all of this is happening because Joe Biden in Washington wants to reinvigorate the Cold War division (perhaps in fear of China) but in a caricature form. This time, it would not be divided between totalitarianism and the free world, but between a weakened Russia supported by Biden himself which represents a post-Bolshevik, aggressive absolutism and a rainbow absolutism being born in the West, which is filled with rage, reverse racism and censorship.