Poland: Conservative Law and Justice party leads in latest local election poll

Electoral campaign posters of candidates of the ruling party and the opposition party are seen in Warsaw, Poland, Thursday April 4, 2024, three days ahead of local elections Poland is holding on Sunday. (AP Photo/Czarek Sokolowski)
By John Cody
2 Min Read

In a poll published three days before the local government elections, Law and Justice (PiS) has taken the lead among voters’ preferences for the regional assemblies.

The survey, conducted by Ipsos for OKO.press and TOK FM, places PiS ahead with a four-point lead over its closest rival, the Civic Coalition, just days before voters cast their ballots.

The polling data indicates a clear preference among the electorate for PiS, which garnered a 29 percent support rate among respondents. The Civic Coalition trails at 25 percent, while other political groups vie for the third spot in a tight race.

Notably, the Third Way alliance secured 11 percent of the voter preference, with the right-wing Confederation party and Non-Partisan Local Government Activists each drawing 10 percent. The Left attracted 7 percent of the electorate, and other committees collectively held 2 percent of the vote. The undecided voters make up 9 percent of the respondents.

An interesting aspect of the poll is the high level of electoral engagement it reveals, with half of the respondents affirming their definite intention to vote. An additional 11 percent are likely to participate in the elections, reflecting a robust interest in the regional assembly elections across the board.

Further analysis of the data among those who are certain to vote shows a slight shift in preferences. In this group, the Law and Justice Party increases its lead slightly to 30 percent, while the Civic Coalition’s support rises to 27 percent. The distribution among the other parties remains relatively stable, with minor fluctuations in their respective support levels.

In a separate survey conducted by Pollster for TVP Info, a different political landscape emerges in the Warsaw mayoral race, with current mayor Rafał Trzaskowski from Civic Coalition leading the pack with 49.71 percent of the votes. Magdalena Biejat from The Left follows with 18.25 percent and Tobiasz Bocheński from PiS is in third place with 11.09 percent.

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