Every third voter (33.4 percent) intends to vote for the ruling conservative party Law and Justice (PiS) and the other parties that form the United Right Coalition, according to an IBRiS poll for the daily Rzeczpospolita. This represents a slight increase in the ruling party’s ratings by 0.7 percentage points compared to the previous poll conducted a month ago.
However, this is not the only trend. Support for the opposition Civic Coalition, which is made up of the Civic Platform (PO) in alliance with smaller parties, has significantly decreased, recording a four-point drop. Support for the Civic Platform stood at 26.2 percent, which is 4 percentage points less than before.
The Confederation came in third place with 12.7 percent of votes (also a drop of 0.6 percentage points). The Left Together party would receive 10.7 percent of votes (gaining 1.7 percentage points), and the Third Way coalition made up of the Polish People’s Party (PSL) and Poland 2050 would receive 10.8 percent (no change).
None of the parties would secure the majority required to independently form a government.
The opposition — made up of the Civic Coalition, the Left, and the Third Way — would not collectively achieve a majority in the Sejm (Polish parliament). If these were the election results, PiS could form a government with the Confederation party, but Confederation politicians currently exclude such a possibility.
In the IBRiS poll, respondents were also asked whether they would participate in the elections if they were held next Sunday, with 46.8 percent of those surveyed saying “yes,” while 44.3 percent answered “no.”