Who will lead Poland? New poll shows ruling conservatives on top, but no chance of ruling without right-wing Confederation party

By Grzegorz Adamczyk
2 Min Read

If the elections in Poland were held last Sunday, the best result would be achieved by the Law and Justice (PiS) party, with 35.3 percent of the vote. The Civic Coalition (KO) would receive 27.5 percent, Confederation 10.6 percent, Third Way (PSL and Szymon Hołownia’s Poland 2050) 10.2 percent, and the Left 9.4 percent. These are the results of the first post-summer poll by United Surveys for the Wirtualna Polska portal.

The ruling party’s ratings have increased by 0.8 percentage points since mid-August. KO has lost 3.7 points compared to the previous poll, marking the biggest decline among all parties. Confederation’s ratings increased by 2.8 points, Third Way recorded growth of 1.2 points, and the Left saw an increase of 2.3 points.

Seven percent of respondents are unsure who they want to vote for.

Wirtualna Polska emphasizes that no party would secure an outright majority needed to govern (231 mandates). According to the poll, the United Right would get 193 seats, KO 145, Confederation 44, Third Way 41, and the Left 36. One seat would go to a representative of the German minority.

“This means that neither PiS nor the so-called democratic opposition would have a majority in the Sejm, the lower house of the Polish parliament. Everything would hinge on what Confederation decides,” summarizes Wp.pl.

The poll also indicates that if the elections were held last Sunday, 61.7 percent of those surveyed would participate, with 45.1 percent saying “definitely yes” and 16.6 saying “probably yes.” Another 37 percent would not go to the polls, with 24.1 percent saying “definitely no” and 12.9 percent saying “probably no.” Only 1.3 percent of those surveyed are still undecided about participating in the election.

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