Nearly half of Poles believe Prime Minister Donald Tusk should step down, according to the first poll released after his dramatic takeover of the Constitutional Tribunal, which involved riot police seizing the building. Another poll also shows that if elections were held now, his party would lose power and a right-wing coalition could come to power.
In a survey for the weekly Wprost, 47.4 percent of respondents said Tusk should no longer serve as prime minister, while 38.3 percent wanted him to remain in office and 14.3 percent expressed no opinion.
The findings come amid a sharp dispute over the Constitutional Tribunal, in which judges elected by the current parliamentary majority moved to suspend the court’s president and vice president, lowered the required quorum for decisions, and assumed control of its operations. One of the judges involved had not taken the oath of office before President Karol Nawrocki, which is a constitutional requirement.
A separate voting-intention poll by United Surveys by IBRiS for Wirtualna Polska, conducted Nov. 2, days after the tribunal events, showed Tusk’s Civic Coalition (KO) still leading but with a notable decline. KO stood at 27.2 percent, down 2.5 percentage points from the firm’s previous survey. Law and Justice (PiS) rose to 18.2 percent, up one point, followed by the right-wing Confederation at 13.3 percent and Grzegorz Braun’s right-wing Confederation of the Polish Crown at 11.6 percent. The Left registered 7.1 percent, while Rozwój Plus was at 5.2 percent.
If those results were to hold on election day, Tusk would lose power. Under seat projections, KO would take 172 seats in the 460-member Sejm, PiS 108, the Confederation 73, Braun’s group 61, the Left 30 and Rozwój Plus 16. That would leave the current governing partners, KO and the Left, with only 202 seats, short of the 231 needed for a majority.
Pilne Oświadczenie‼️
Kancelaria Prezydenta RP składa do prokuratury 2 zawiadomienia:
– z art. 128 kk czyli zbrodnia zamachu na konstytucyjny organ państwa
– z art 135 kk czyli czynna napaść na Prezydenta RP
To co zdarzyło się wczoraj w Trybunale nie może być nazwane Zgromadzeniem Ogólnym Sędziów.
— Zbigniew Bogucki🇵🇱 (@BoguckiZbigniew) November 4, 2026A coalition of right-leaning parties could only come to power if it included Braun’s faction, but many analysts expect that the right could form some kind of alliance once push comes to shove.
Notably, Braun was pictured with PiS leader Jarosław Kaczyński outside the Constitutional Tribunal during protests against Tusk’s seizure of power. The photo op they took together appeared to signal their readiness for a potential alliance.
The United Surveys poll, conducted by computer-assisted telephone interviews among 1,000 adults, carried a margin of error of 3 percentage points. Undecided voters rose to 10.7 percent.
Tusk claims his seizure of power is necessary to restore the court’s “legitimacy” after years of PiS influence and accused Nawrocki and the conservatives of blocking judicial reforms. In an address on Oct. 31, he criticized the president, PiS and protesters outside the court, saying a democratic state “must be strong and capable of enforcing justice.” He also claimed forces aligned against him are backed by the Russians. The EU has also come out in support of Tusk and refused to condemn his seizure of the court in violation of the Polish constitution.
If the polls are any indication, the illegal seizure has only worsened his position among the Polish public in the lead up to parliamentary elections in 2027.
Nawrocki, who routinely polls as the most popular politician in Poland, has slammed the court takeover as an illegal power grab. Some politicians on the right have threatened members of Tusk’s government with arrest if the right ever manages to come back into power.
