Czech polling shows populist-conservative ANO party would win big in fall Senate elections

The party most aligned with conservative-national values in Czechia may secure a big victory in elections this fall

editor: REMIX NEWS
author: John Cody
Czech Republic's former Prime Minister and leader of centrist ANO (YES) movement Andrej Babis addresses the media after most of the votes were counted in the parliamentary elections, Prague, Czech Republic, on Oct. 9, 2021. (AP Photo/Petr David Josek, File)

The party of Former Czech Prime Minister Andrej Babiš, known for his conservative stances on immigration and culture values as well as his alliance with Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán, is the most popular party in Czechia, according to polling by Median.

The data shows that Babiš’ ANO movement would win the parliamentary Senate and municipal elections, which are set for Sept. 23. Compared to June, the party strengthened by one percentage point and would receive 30 percent of the vote. In second is the Civic Democratic Party (ODS). Its voter support fell by about 0.6 percentage points to 15.5 percent in a month-on-month comparison. ANO would earn over double the vote of ODS, its closest competitor.

The Freedom and Direct Democracy (SPD) movement would finish third with 12.5 percent of the vote, just as they did a month ago. The data does not include electoral coalitions from the October elections. According to Median, the support of the governing parties stands at 41 percent.

Seven political parties would enter the lower house in July, according to a report from Czech news outlet Echo24. The Pirates would gain 10.5 percent, down 1.3 percentage points from the June model. Social Democrats (ČSSD) would get in, while the Christian democrats (KDU-ČSL) would end up out of parliament. Support for both parties is close to the 5 percent mark. The case is the same with TOP 09 and Mayors and Independents (STAN), where it is impossible to determine whether the parties will end up above or below the 5 percent threshold.

In the last month, votes for STAN increased slightly to 5.5 percent. In June, the movement faced a significant decline after a corruption case surrounding former Deputy Mayor of Prague Petr Hlubuček.

“The ANO movement maintains high support, especially among people aged 65 and over. The ODS enjoys high support, especially among entrepreneurs and people in the 55 to 64 age category,” stated Median.

According to the agency, ANO continues to have the biggest voter base. SPD is often supported by people with a lower education and people aged 45 to 54. Pirates have the highest support among people aged 25 to 34.

Polling shows that a third of the respondents would cast their vote in the parliamentary elections but are not firmly decided on the chosen party. Party support can thus continue to change dynamically.

Some 57.5 percent of respondents would participate in the elections in July, and another 15.5 percent are considering it. In last year’s parliamentary elections, the turnout was over 65 percent. More than a fifth of the respondents would not vote now.

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