Experts and commentators agree that it is a very hard time for Poland: a pandemic that continues to fester, war over the border, the need to bring aid to refugees, and the increasingly shameless unlawful pressure of Berlin and Brussels. It altogether results in uncertainty, concerns, ever-new crises, and above all, price increases — everywhere in the world, but the situation of countries near the front line is especially difficult.
The opposition’s leader, Donald Tusk, is trying to heat up the atmosphere, scaring, spreading panic, hurling insults, and accusing those in power of all sins, not to mention the war and the pandemic. The model of opposition that he proposed is supposed to bring the Polish political debate down to the level of wild animals fighting. This is a style so primitive that he would never dare offer it to the French or Germans, and if he tried, he would be chased off.
The above-mentioned factors cause the opposition to count on undermining the support of the United Right. Because if not now, then when? Hence the fake polls forecasting the Civic Platform’s (PO) supposed lead over Law and Justice (PiS).
Meanwhile, the results of polls made by serious agencies, including Social Changes, show that nothing like that is happening; quite the opposite. The ruling camp led by Jarosław Kaczyński has been impressive, especially with the current challenges, giving them the prospect of fighting for an independent majority in the next term.
According to these polls, the United Right would get 38 percent of the votes, a percentage point more than in the last survey. Civic Coalition (PO with smaller liberal parties) would receive 27 percent, three percentage points less than previously. Szymon Hołownia’s Poland 2050 would receive 10 percent; Confederation saw a one point gain to 9 percent; and The Left received one point more at 8 percent. The PSL Polish Coalition would get only 3 percent, one point less than previously, while The Agreement would receive just one percent of the votes.
Light blue – Untied Right, Orange – Civic Platform, Yellow – Poland 2050, Dark blue – Confederation, Red – the Left, Light green – PSL (peasant party), Dark green – Kukiz’15, Purple – Agreement, Grey – Other (Source: Social Changes/wPolityce.pl)
The respondents were also asked the question: “Would you vote if the elections took place next Sunday?” 59 percent of the respondents answered with either “definitely yes” or “rather yes,” while 33 percent answered “definitely no” or “rather no.” Some 8 percent were undecided.
It is worth noting that it will be a hard winter with many challenges ahead for Poland. A moment of inattention, a few mistakes or unfulfilled expectations, pride or division, could change it all.
