Polish elections: Ruling conservatives hold a lead but no party has majority to form government a week away from national vote

Voting in the lower house of the Polish parliament, the Sejm.
By Grzegorz Adamczyk
2 Min Read

According to a new poll, the United Right, made up of the ruling Law and Justice (PiS), together with smaller conservative parties, would receive the most votes in the Oct. 15 election, but it would not have enough to form a government.

The poll from Estymator for the DoRzeczy media outlet was released on Saturday and estimates that voter turnout would be around 62 percent. The participants of the poll were asked: “If elections for the Sejm were held next Sunday, which of the following parties or party coalitions would you vote for?”

The current vote total for United Right at 36.9 percent of respondents represents a drop of 0.5 percentage points compared to the same poll conducted on Sept. 29-30. Meanwhile, 30.5 percent of participants expressed their intention to vote for the Civic Coalition, showing a decline of 0.1 percentage points.

The Third Way comes third in the poll with 9.4 percent of respondents willing to vote for them, reflecting a dip of 0.2 percentage points.

The Confederation and the Left both attracted 9.3 percent of respondents, with the latter seeing an increase of 0.6 percentage points. Non-partisan local government officials would garner 3.4 percent support, unchanged from previous data.

Estymator’s findings were then converted into a number of mandates in the Sejm. The United Right would secure 202 deputy seats, Civic Coalition would get 153, and Third Way 37. The Confederation would introduce 36 of their representatives to the Sejm, and the New Left would have 31 deputies. One seat would go to a representative from other options.

It’s worth noting that 231 deputies are needed to form a majority.

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