Poll: More Poles believe conservative PiS party will win next parliamentary elections

Most Poles believe the economy and inflation will be the main campaign topic in the election year

editor: Grzegorz Adamczyk
author: wpolityce.pl
Voting in the lower house of the Polish parliament, the Sejm.

A new poll found that 33 percent of Poles believe the ruling party in Poland, Law and Justice (PiS), and its coalition partners will win the next parliamentary elections, which are planned for the autumn of 2023.

The survey, conducted by Kantar Public for Polityka weekly, also reveals that 29 percent of Poles believe the opposition will win.

Respondents were also asked how important future elections will be compared to the elections of 1989, which led to the democratization of Poland. Thirty-three percent of all respondents answered that they would be more important, while 42 percent believe they will be just as important and 7 percent say less important.

According to the survey, 86 percent of PiS’ electorate believes in the party’s success. On the side of the opposition, 74 percent of voters of Civic Platform (PO) believe the party will win, 41 percent of the Left’s voters trust in the party’s success, and 48 percent believe Szymon Hołownia’s Poland 2050 will be in the winning coalition, which is the same percent for the Polish People’s Party (PSL). Only 26 percent of Confederation voters believe their party will be in the winning coalition.

Poles also made their predictions on who will become the next prime minister, with 19 percent selecting current Polish Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki, 13 percent choosing the head of the PO, Donald Tusk, 13 percent saying Warasw Mayor Rafał Trzaskowski, 8 percent stating Szymon Hołownia was their favorite, 5 percent choosing Władysław Kosiniak-Kamysz (PSL), and 4 percent going with the leader of PiS, Jarosław Kaczyński. Another 18 percent selected “someone else,” while 20 percent did not respond with any candidate.

Respondents also chose the most important topics of the electoral campaign, with 67 percent saying they believe the economy and inflation should be the most important topic of the campaign.

The following issues were also on the list: energy security (43 percent), rule of law, judiciary system, and the state system (35 percent), healthcare (35 percent), the Ukraine war and national defense (19 percent), education (16 percent), abortion (14 percent), housing (11 percent), refugees (6 percent), LGBT and gender, legalization of same-sex marriages (4 percent).

The survey included a question regarding Ukraine’s best course of action in the war against Russia, with 59 percent of Poles believing Ukraine should fight until the end to reclaim all lands lost from Russia. Another 16 percent of respondents believe Ukraine should start negotiations with Russia and accept the loss of some of its territories, while 25 percent have no opinion on the matter.

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